Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.232834 0.268513 0.308985 0.358525 0.417847 0.486992 0.574261
2025-10-05 0.180293 0.227144 0.286298 0.367525 0.477827 0.624845 0.839842
2025-10-12 0.149587 0.200666 0.270341 0.374572 0.530530 0.761959 1.144764
2025-10-19 0.129060 0.181774 0.258185 0.380663 0.579254 0.902222 1.498040
2025-10-26 0.115409 0.169369 0.251746 0.391969 0.636197 1.068112 1.951584
2025-11-02 0.103240 0.156790 0.242181 0.395206 0.678915 1.219713 2.436476
2025-11-09 0.092950 0.145403 0.232279 0.395212 0.714773 1.367408 2.974479
2025-11-16 0.083973 0.134796 0.221825 0.391795 0.742574 1.506071 3.554232
2025-11-23 0.076020 0.124829 0.210908 0.385232 0.762016 1.631852 4.162820
2025-11-30 0.071527 0.120296 0.209036 0.395884 0.820597 1.867299 5.208578
2025-12-07 0.065475 0.112208 0.199371 0.388700 0.836972 2.002913 6.028616
2025-12-14 0.061279 0.107062 0.194657 0.391188 0.876966 2.215596 7.253957
2025-12-21 0.057040 0.101467 0.188526 0.389952 0.908829 2.421677 8.630489
2025-12-28 0.054438 0.098776 0.187989 0.401602 0.978195 2.772219 10.930535
2026-01-04 0.051772 0.095655 0.186129 0.409776 1.040622 3.129817 13.646578
2026-01-11 0.049250 0.092553 0.183893 0.416626 1.101487 3.512520 16.961993
2026-01-18 0.047375 0.090584 0.183896 0.429236 1.184035 4.020969 21.750236
2026-01-25 0.045034 0.087391 0.180718 0.432846 1.239303 4.452324 26.746063
2026-02-01 0.042672 0.083922 0.176488 0.432853 1.282973 4.861229 32.346959
2026-02-08 0.040291 0.080192 0.171215 0.429045 1.312678 5.226690 38.364366
2026-02-15 0.037919 0.076278 0.165075 0.421732 1.328022 5.535209 44.589364
2026-02-22 0.036769 0.075025 0.165339 0.433603 1.420322 6.309099 58.099198
2026-03-01 0.034696 0.071469 0.159437 0.425596 1.432210 6.650065 67.421813